macrogoldsilver.blogg.se

Skulderna i världen har aldrig varit så höga som de är idag samtidigt som man trycker pengar för att hålla systemet igång. Guld och silver har varit en del av det monetära systemet under flera tusen år. De senaste dryga 40 åren har man dock valt att lämna dessa ädelmetaller utanför och det har medfört ökade skulder och ett ohållbart system.

Alla är redan köpt aktier vem skall ta över stafettpinnen

Publicerad 2015-04-30 10:55:00 i Ekonomi,

KWN II 4:29:2015
The new market highs inspired a large jump for the bulls to 57.4%. That was up from 52.5% and 50.5% over the prior two weeks, just below the readings that ended Feb when indexes also set records. Bulls above 50% show elevated risk and that has persisted since Nov-14 with only a few weeks of exceptions. Bullishness at the +60% level points to near fully invested outlooks and major tops. Sentiment is a leading indicator and in Jun-14 the bulls hit 62.6%. The market first edged higher after that but then fell sharply early fall, ending with a bottom in Oct 2014. By then the bulls had tumbled to 35.3%. That signaled lower risk buying conditions. 

There was a small contraction for the bears at 13.9%. That is from 15.2% a week ago and equals the 2015 low for the bears just before that. Again the bears show the same depressed reading that ended Nov-14. This is a lonely outlook held mostly by cycle followers. The upcoming seasonality shift (sell in May and go away) hasn't yet convinced many advisors to shift their outlook.

The spread between the bulls and bears increased to 43.5%, up from 37.3%. That ends three weeks below 40% and again a dangerous difference in danger territory last seen late Feb. The spread was then 45.4% before stocks sold off. Differences over 30% are a worry and above 40% signal major caution. Bears haven't outnumbered bulls (a negative spread) since Oct-2011. 

Kommentarer

Kommentera inlägget här
Publiceras ej

Om

Min profilbild

Roger Lundberg

Har varit verksam inom den finansiella marknaden i över 35 år. Har därmed varit med om både upp och nedgångar inom olika marknader. Min bedömning är att vi närmar oss en ny härdsmälta på de ekonomiska marknaderna och vill därför med denna blogg dela med mig av min erfarenhet.

Kategorier

Arkiv

Prenumerera och dela