Jeroen Blokland: “For the record, the 10Y-3M yield curve is more inverted now than it was back in 2007. (See below).
WOW! US 10-Year vs 3-Month Yield Curve Is Now More Inverted Than It Was In 2007!
Banks that have recently released an updated gold price prediction into a chart. In most cases, it is an analyst at the bank making the prediction, not the bank itself. But since these are mostly analysts for the resource industry, their predictions are frequently used to make investment decisions for the institutional side of the firm, as well as to make recommendations to advisors who manage money for thousands of clients.
In some cases they don’t give a specific date or price, but here’s what these banks and analysts have publicly stated over the past couple weeks.
In case you missed it: #Gold measured in Euro has hit a fresh life-time high this morning.
The top part of the chart shows, starting in 2000, the S&P Index (white) and the 2/10 year US Treasury Spread (red). The bottom part shows the S&P Index divided by the 2/20 Treasury spread. The green area in the bottom part shows that the risk of a turn is high. This indicator predicted the 2000 crash and also the 2007-9 crash. The green area since 2017 shows much higher risk than the previous two crises. We are now at the Tipping Point which in simple terms means that we will first see stocks fall rapidly and a bit later interest rates rise. The size of the bubble and the extent of the risk will this time lead to a fall much greater than in 2000 and 2007.
Crash Predictor (GREEN) Shows Much Higher Risk Today vs Onset Of 2000 And 2008 Crises
Euroområdet ser inget vidare ut, Super Mario är nog i tryckeriet och förbereder mer likviditet till marknaderna
Är det börsens marknadsvärde i förhållande till ekonomin som avgör när det är dags för en rekyl???????
January 2018 nearly 150% market cap to GDP and stocks got punished with a 10% correction.
Last September/October we hit a slightly lower high around 147% and stocks got hit with a 20% correction.
Now in July we hit 145%, another slightly lower high, and stocks have begun selling off again.
Orders for Class 8 trucks – the iconic trucks that haul part of the economy’s goods across the country – collapsed by 81% in July compared to July last year, to 9,800 units, the lowest since 2010, according to FTR Transportation Intelligence on Friday. It was the ninth month in a row of year-over-year declines. But “declines” is not the right word. This year so far, these year-over-year “declines” ranged from -52% to -81%, which makes for a stunning collapse of the historic boom last year:
Silver nu nära major break out tekniskt. Bryter motståndet 200 månaders 16,76 ser vi ett utbrott från cup & handle och kan se en snabb uppgång till USD ca 21
HIGHEST IN 50 YEARS: Central Banks Buy 224 Tonnes Of Gold In Q2, 47% Higher Year-Over-Year