Skulderna i världen har aldrig varit så höga som de är idag samtidigt som man trycker pengar för att hålla systemet igång. Guld och silver har varit en del av det monetära systemet under flera tusen år. De senaste dryga 40 åren har man dock valt att lämna dessa ädelmetaller utanför och det har medfört ökade skulder och ett ohållbart system.

Världens äldsta Centralbank

Publicerad 2019-12-19 17:07:51 i Ekonomi,

Världens äldsta Centralbank höjde idag räntan till 0%. Man glömer knappast höjningen 2008 några veckor innan Lehman Brothers fick kasta in handduken. Bättre taiming denna gång?????????????????????
See full story: Sweden Ends Five Years of Negative Rates with Hike to Zero

FED började trycka pengar och recessions risken minskade i rekord takt

Publicerad 2019-12-18 11:47:00 i Ekonomi,

The probability of a recession in the next 12 months has dropped sharply to just below 40%. The fall from 53% three months ago marks the steepest quarterly decline in recession risk in the survey’s four-and-a-half-year history.'
'According to the BofA fund manager survey, global growth expectations have shot up 22% over two months to a net 29% of those surveyed saying the world economy will accelerate next year — the biggest 2-month jump in growth expectations on record.'
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Publicerad 2019-12-17 14:46:00 i Ekonomi,

"World" silver price, based on an average of fiat currencies instead of just the US dollar... this silver price is currently above $22, about 30% higher than the US price:

Ingenting att bry sig om

Publicerad 2019-12-17 14:31:52 i Ekonomi,

Previous times the Fed was forced to spike repurchase agreements where associated with market excess, crashes & recessions. This here is off the charts and reeks of a systemic crisis.

CB har fingret på pengaknappen vilket får med sig börserna. 2018 var det tvärtom. Om detta slutar med framgång för alla varför är Zimbabwe då en av världens fattigaste länder????????????

Publicerad 2019-12-16 17:09:00 i Ekonomi,

Why system failure?

Because 2019 has revealed a fundamental truth: Central banks can’t extract themselves from the monstrosity they have created and made markets dependent upon.

2018 was the only year since the financial crisis that central banks reduced liquidity on a net basis and it blew up in everybody’s face:


Silverhalterna sjunker

Publicerad 2019-12-16 13:55:00 i Ekonomi,

The firm examined the grades of the 12 biggest primary silver mines in the world. They specifically measured the “mill feed” grade, which is the grade of the ore going into the mill. Their data only goes through 2016, but look what has happened to the average grade of these deposits over the past 10 years.

CFO om eventuell framtida recession

Publicerad 2019-12-12 10:22:07 i Ekonomi,

52% of US CFOs believe recession will occur by end of 2020 w/ 76% predicting one by mid-2021; 56% taking steps to prepare for recession; 59% strengthening balance sheets; 58% reducing costs; 49% increasing liquidity; 31% scaling back/delaying investment.

James Turk ser fas 3 för guldpriset

Publicerad 2019-12-09 10:48:50 i Ekonomi,

James Turk:  “It’s a gold bull market. Even with yesterday’s takedown year-to-date performance is spectacular: gold +14%, silver +7%. XAU Index +35%. But the big move in the precious metals is further down the road as this chart shows. Uptrend #3 is just getting started (see below).

EXPECT GOLD & SILVER LIFTOFF IN 2020: Major Uptrend #3 Just Getting Started In Gold & Silver

James Rickards om HSBC

Publicerad 2019-12-04 13:56:19 i Ekonomi,

HSBC is facing huge mortgage losses due to a collapse of the property market. Here is a small excerpt.

"Almost overnight, Hong Kong has gone from being one of the world’s most expensive property markets to complete chaos. The social unrest and political riots there have generated a flight of capital and talent. Those who can are getting out fast and taking their money with them.

As a result, large portions of the property market have gone “no bid.” Sellers are lining up but the buyers are not showing up. At the high end, owners paid cash for the most part and do not have mortgages. But HSBC has enormous exposure in the midrange and more modest sections of the housing market.

High-end distress also has a trickle-down effect that puts downward pressure on midmarket prices." Jim Rickards.

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Debt Bomb

Publicerad 2019-12-04 13:02:00 i Ekonomi,

US corporate debt as a percentage of profits is steadily increasing, which could trigger a rise in the high-yield default rate, according to Moody's Analytics.

Kan FED vända den ekonomiska trenden med mer QE och lägre ränta

Publicerad 2019-12-02 14:48:07 i Ekonomi,

The Chicago Fed provides a breakdown of the change in the underlying 85-components in a “diffusion” index. As opposed to just the index itself, the “diffusion” of the components give us a better understanding of the broader changes inside the index itself.

There two important points of consideration:

  1. When the diffusion index dips below zero have coincided with weak economic growth and outright recessions. 

  2. The S&P 500 has a history of corrections, and outright bear markets, which correspond with negative reading in the diffusion index.

Graddhys charts för AG och AU

Publicerad 2019-12-02 10:40:51 i Ekonomi,

$SILVER w Support around here. We have tagged EMA30, fib 50% and MA200 plus my red dotted triangle energy apex trend line, which was perfectly BT. A good reason why many silver miners are showing strength I think. We did get a daily reversal candle on e.g. SILJ yesterday though.
$GOLD w Moved back inside my blue bull flag creating a bullish engulfing, confirming my FBO call. Full Sto reached below 20 = no concern anymore. Break above MA10 plus IC decline line confirms that the ICL was week 28. Expecting metals to move up from here. Thin zone just above.


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Roger Lundberg

Har varit verksam inom den finansiella marknaden i över 35 år. Har därmed varit med om både upp och nedgångar inom olika marknader. Min bedömning är att vi närmar oss en ny härdsmälta på de ekonomiska marknaderna och vill därför med denna blogg dela med mig av min erfarenhet.

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